1st Feb 2013 | Horse Racing
Lingfield Tips: Aqua Ardens
Turf form best ignored, as he seems happiest on the all-weather. Trainer capable of getting one ready after a long break.
There are several reasons why Aqua Ardens is a big price for the 2.20 Lingfield, but none of them are strictly relevant.
He’s barely beaten a horse in his last four starts but the races were on turf, three on them with the going described as soft. He simply might not like turf and/or soft ground. On his last three all-weather starts he’s finished no worse than fifth, winning once.
The betting market might be put off by his 129-day absence but trainer George Baker is capable of getting horses ready after a long break. He has a strike rate of 17.8% with runners returning to the track after a 100-day absence or more. That is actually better than his overall strike rate.
With the two negative marks against him erased, he could run significantly better than his 8/1 (William Hill) quote.
*Best Odds Guaranteed – William Hill
Back Aqua Ardens with William Hill as they are best price and offer Best Odds Guaranteed. If the starting price (SP) is bigger than the current price, you get paid at the bigger SP.
Odds correct at time of publishing: 17:59 1st Feb, 2013 but subject to change
