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12th Feb 2018 | Genesis Open

Genesis Open Trends

Northern Trust Open Trends

There is no stopping the PGA Tour with a strong field assembling for the Genesis Trust Open. We look at the trends of past winners.

The PGA Tour stays in California for the Genesis (formerly Northern Trust) Open at Riviera Country Club. A regular stop on tour, Riviera CC has hosted the tournament on a near continuous basis since 1973.

A par-71, it ranked the 4th most difficult course on tour in 2014 and 2015’s winning score was 6-under. With a classic lay-out the priority is finding fairways and greens, making it a good all-round test of a golfer’s ability. 

Experience seems to be an advantage with only 4 of the last 29 champions winning their first tour title at Riviera.

Let us look at the eleven previous champions for clues:

Top-70 on tour for strokes gained tee-to-green
In 2015 James Hahn won despite ranking 50th in strokes gained putting during the tournament, runner up Dustin Johnson was 54th. You can win at Riviera with just an excellent tee-to-green performance and that ties together ten of the last eleven champions.

Top-60 on tour for all-around ranking
Riviera’s fairways and greens are amongst the toughest to find on tour, proving that a good all-round game is needed to succeed. Nine of the last eleven winners ranked inside the top-70 on tour for this metric, which brings together driving, ball striking, putting and scoring.

Top-70 on tour for adjusted scoring average
The better players and particularly those playing well, have enjoyed success at the Northern Trust Open with ten of the last eleven winners ranked in the top-70 on tour for adjusted scoring average.

Top-70 on tour for driving distance
Four of the top-5 in 2016 ranked inside the top-13 on tour for driving distance. Names like Bubba Watson, Dustin Johnson, Jason Kokrak and Adam Scott scream a big hitter’s venue. It was a similair story last year with Dustin Johnson, Thomas Pieters, Justin Rose and Ollie Schniederjans all inside the top-10.

Players that fit all four trends:
Adam Scott
Brendan Steele
Charley Hoffman
Daniel Berger
Dustin Johnson
Jamie Lovemark
Justin Thomas
Keegan Bradley
Kyle Stanley
Lucas Glover
Luke List
Marc Leishman
Martin Laird
Patrick Cantlay
Paul Casey
Rory McIlroy
Shane Lowry
Sung Kang
Tony Finau
Xander Schauffele

Justin Thomas to win 18/1 with Bet365
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 16:38 12th Feb, 2018 but subject to change

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