26th Jan 2021 | Dubai Desert Classic

Dubai Desert Classic Trends

Dubai Desert Classic Trends

The Desert Swing continues with the Dubai Desert Classic. A strong field has assembled with Tyrrell Hatton and Collin Morikawa amongst the headline acts. We look at the trends of past winners.

This is the 32nd Dubai Desert Classic and with the Emirates GC having hosted all but two of the events, there is lots of course form.

The roll of honour suggests class normally comes to the fore in Dubai as we look at the trends of the past 11 winners.

Top-60 on tour for scoring average
The best players on tour usually thrive in Dubai but don’t discount the slightly less fashionable European Tour golfers with Lucas Hebert, Alvaro Quiros, Rafa Cabrera-Bello and Stephen Gallacher all winning in recent years. Each of the last ten winners ranked inside the top-60 on tour for scoring average.

Top-60 on tour for GIRs
Last year’s wind, rain (!) and difficult scoring was an anomoly, normally you need to be around 20-under, therefore you have to create birdie opportunities. Nine of the last 11 winners ranked inside the top-60 on tour for GIRs.

Top-40 finish the previous year
Players tend to repeat their form at Emirates GC. Stephen Gallacher won back to back titles, Rory McIlroy has seven consecutive top-10s and Ernie Els managed seven top-3 finishes in a row in the early 2000s. Even Bryson Dechambeau was able to improve on his 18th finish from 2016, his previous only visit to the course. Lucas Herbert finished seventh the year before winning.

Players that fit all three trends:
DETRY, Thomas
FOX, Ryan
GREEN, Gavin
KAYMER, Martin
PEREZ, Victor
SCHWAB, Matthias
SMITH, Jordan

Jordan Smith to win 125/1 with Bet365
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 17:46 26th Jan, 2021 but subject to change

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