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15th Nov 2021 | DP World Tour Championship

DP World Tour Championship Trends

DP World Tour Championship Trends

We examine the winning trends for the European Tour’s season finale in Dubai.

The Race to Dubai concludes this weekend bringing the curtain down on the 2021 European Tour season. The Earth course at the Jumeirah Golf Estates measures a testing 7,675 yards, giving long hitters an edge, something both Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have exploited in recent last years.

With 12 years of form to go on, let us look at the trends of past winners.

Top-60 in driving distance
Ten of the last 12 winners in Dubai ranked inside the top-60 on tour for driving distance. Alvaro Quiros was the longest on tour when victorious in 2012.

Top-60 in scoring average
As you would expect from a tournament comprising the best in Europe, 10 of the last 12 winners ranked inside the top-60 on tour for scoring average.

Top-60 for GIRs
The average winning score over the last eight years has been 19-under. To succeed you need to create and take the birdie opportunities on offer.
Top-60 on tour in putts per GIR
Just bombing the golf ball won’t win you the tournament, you still need to make some putts. 10 of the last 12 winners ranked inside the top-60 on tour in putts per GIR. Danny Willett just missed out, ranked 64th last year.

Players that fit all four trends:
FLEETWOOD, Tommy
HIGGO, Garrick
HØJGAARD, Nicolai
HORSFIELD, Sam
ROZNER, Antoine

Sam Horsefield to win 70/1 with Bet365
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 18:38 15th Nov, 2021 but subject to change

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