1st Sep 2013 | Football
West Brom v Swansea Tips: Claudio Yacob
Only three players have made more tackles this season and should be a 6/4 shot.
Claudio Yacob is 2/1 (BetVictor) to be shown a card in West Brom’s match against Swansea and the stats show this bet should be a 6/4 chance.
The Argentinean midfielder has received 48 yellow cards in his career from a total 11,385 minutes playing time; that equates to a booking every 237 minutes. Assuming he plays a full 90minutes, as he has done in both league fixtures this season, then he will get booked on average every 2.6 games.
At that level of frequency he will be shown two cards every five games, which makes him a 6/4 chance to get booked.
If we take the opposition into account then the bet gets even stronger. Last season Swansea were the 8th most fouled team in the league and in the 2011/12 season they were the second most fouled team.
With Swansea’s ethos built around retaining possession it is conceivable that Claudio Yacob will get booked in his eagerness to win back the ball.
So far this season only three players have made more tackles than West Brom’s midfield enforcer and all the evidence suggests he is cracking value at 2/1 (BetVictor) to be shown a card of any description.
Odds correct at time of publishing: 11:55 1st Sep, 2013 but subject to change
