28th Dec 2016 | Premier League

Southampton v Tottenham Preview

Southampton v Tottenham Preview

Southampton rank 6th in shots (game state adjusted) but 16th in goals. Something must give way and that might be Tottenham’s defence.

Southampton finally found their scoring touch against local rivals Bournemouth but there’s still plenty of upside to come in their scoring%.

Southampton rank 6th in my game state adjusted shot metrics, averaging 15.4 shots per game. Unfortunately, this has only yielded 17 goals all season making them the 16th highest scorers in the league.

If Southampton kept up their shot volumes (and locations weren’t terrible) the goals will come as they did against Bournemouth. Life will be harder against a strong Tottenham defence but the Saints have legitimate claims to be the ‘best of the rest’ in the Premier League.

Southampton have lost only one game at home all season and are a strong bet at Evens in the draw no bet market.

1pt Southampton to win (draw no bet) Evens with William Hill
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 07:55 28th Dec, 2016 but subject to change

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