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2nd May 2013 | Football

QPR v Arsenal Tip

Has the look of an open game that should ultimately boost Arsenal's Champions League hopes.

Arsenal are a team who famously ‘cut loose’ and dish out a thrashing a few times a season and Saturday evening looks primed to be one such occasion.

QPR have been officially relegated and will probably go out and try to score a goal or two in this London derby. I’m sure any incentive to defend with tremendous discipline and keep it tight has well and truly gone. And it’s not like they were all that good at doing that anyway!

When the Gunners do win handsomely the statistics suggest that they almost always concede in the process. Their biggest wins in 2012-13 have been:

Arsenal 6-1 Southampton
Arsenal 6-1 Coventry
Reading 5-7 Arsenal
Arsenal 5-2 Spurs
Reading 2-5 Arsenal
Arsenal 7-3 Newcastle
Arsenal 5 -1 West Ham
Arsenal 4-1 Reading

That’s eight heavy victories without one clean sheet - the Arsene Wenger way. Each fixture had at least five goals and this encourages me to back over 4.5 goals in the match at best odds of 17/4 with BetVictor.

1pt Over 4.5 goals in the match 17/4 with BetVictor
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 19:41 2nd May, 2013 but subject to change

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