25th Nov 2015 | Champions League

Wolf At Home In Russia

Wolf At Home In Russia

Wolfsburg were comfortably the better side in their round one meeting and home advantage won’t be enough to turn the tables.

Group B is delicately poised with all four teams mathematically capable of reaching the knock-out stages but I expect CSKA’s chances will be extinguished in the 5pm kick-off.

CSKA Moscow have four points from their four matches but they’ve been second best in all of them, bar their win over PSV and even then they almost gave away a 3-0 lead at half-time.

In terms of expected goals, CSKA have a goal difference of -1.8 compared to Wolfsburg 1.3 and even accounting for home advantage they shouldn’t be favourites.

In the round one meeting between the teams Wolfsburg were comprehensively the better side and the 1-0 scoreline didn’t do the Germans justice. They dominated possession (58%) and shots (21-8).

I expect quality will win out again and Wolfsburg are a cracking bet at 21/10 (Betfred).

Odds correct at time of publishing: 07:36 25th Nov, 2015 but subject to change

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