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10th Jun 2018 | US Open

US Open Golf Trends

US Open Golf Trends

The second golf major of the year starts on Thursday and Shinnecock Hills. We look at the trends needed to win a US Open.

The season’s second major starts on Thursday at Shinnecock Hills. Although the US Open visits a different venue each year the USGA have a blueprint on how they want the course set up. Often much tougher than a regular PGA Tour event, the major brings its own unique challenges.

Here are the trends needed to win regardless of venue:

Top-60 on tour for all around ranking
US Open courses are a challenge, testing every facet of a golfer’s game. It wasn’t long ago that the USGA stated they wanted the winning score to be level-par. The cream usually rises to the top; each of the last ten champions were in the top-60 for the tour’s all-around ranking.

Top-60 on tour for adjusted scoring average
The last three champions, Brooks Koepka, Dustin Johnson and Jordan Spieth finished the season ranked 14th, first and first for adjusted scoring average. It’s a trend that has persisted over the years.

Top-70 on tour for birdie average
In the last ten years each winner has ranked in the top-70 on tour for birdie average. Players are certain to make bogeys this week and those able to cancel them out with birdies will obviously stand a better chance.

Top-70 on tour strokes gained tee to green
Nine of the last ten champions ranked inside the top-70 on tour for strokes gained tee-to-green. You have to strike it well to win a US Open.

Top-70 on tour for birdie conversion
On a tough course birdie opportunities are few and far between. To win a US Open you have to convert your chances. The last ten winners all ranked inside the top-70 on tour for this metric, Koepka ranked second.

Top-70 on tour for strokes gained with approaches
The one category Koepka didn’t qualify last year but past US Open venues have demanded winners gained strokes on the field with their approaches.

Top-60 on tour for strokes gained off the tee
Shinnecock Hills might have threatening fescue waiting to gather you ball but you need to be way off line to find it, the course is wider than most US Open venues but you still have to drive it well to succeed.

Players that fit all seven trends:
Alex Noren
Bryson DeChambeau
Byeong Hun An
Dustin Johnson
Emiliano Grillo
Jordan Spieth
Justin Rose
Justin Thomas
Luke List
Patrick Cantlay
Paul Casey
Rickie Fowler
Rory McIlroy
Tommy Fleetwood
Tony Finau

Rory McIlroy to win 14/1 with Betfred
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 15:05 10th Jun, 2018 but subject to change

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