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13th Jun 2017 | US Open

US Open Golf Trends

US Open Golf Trends - Oakmont Betting

The second golf major of the year starts on Thursday and Erin Hills is a slight unknown quantity. We look at the trends needed to win a US Open.

The season’s second major starts on Thursday at Erin Hills. Although the US Open visits a different venue each year the USGA have a blueprint on how they want the course set up. Often much tougher than a regular PGA Tour event, the major brings its own unique challenges.

Here are the trends needed to win regardless of venue:

Top-60 on tour for all around ranking
US Open courses are a challenge, testing every facet of a golfer’s game. It wasn’t long ago that the USGA stated they wanted the winning score to be level-par. The cream usually rises to the top; each of the last nine champions were in the top-60 for the tour’s all-around ranking.

Top-60 on tour for adjusted scoring average
The last two champions, Dustin Johnson and Jordan Spieth finished the season ranked first for adjusted scoring average. It’s a trend that has persisted over the years.

Top-70 on tour for birdie average
In the last nine years each winner has ranked in the top-70 on tour for birdie average. Players are certain to make bogeys this week and those able to cancel them out with birdies will obviously stand a better chance.

Top-70 on tour strokes gained tee to green
Eight of the last nine champions ranked inside the top-70 on tour for strokes gained tee-to-green. You have to strike it well to win a US Open.

Top-70 on tour for birdie conversion
On a tough course birdie opportunities are few and far between. To win a US Open you have to convert your chances. The last nine winners all ranked inside the top-70 on tour for this metric.

Top-70 on tour for strokes gained with approaches
Erin Hills is described as a ‘second-shot’ course and that is consistent with past US Open venues and winners.

Top-60 on tour for strokes gained off the tee
Erin Hills has wider fairways than most US Open venues but severe trouble lurks just off line. You have to drive it well to succeed.

Players that fit all seven trends:
Adam Scott
Brendan Steele
Daniel Berger
Dustin Johnson
Emiliano Grillo
Francesco Molinari
Hideki Matsuyama
Jason Dufner
Jon Rahm
Justin Thomas
Marc Leishman
Rickie Fowler

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