19th Dec 2015 | Premier League

Where Are The Goals?

Man Utd v Norwich Tips: Under 2.5 Goals

Man Utd and Norwich are posting underlying shot and expected goals numbers that put them in the bottom half of the league.

The bookmakers cannot decide whether the Man Utd v Norwich game is going to have over or under 2.5 goals. You can get close to even money on either happening but the reality is completely different.

Man Utd are ranked 15th in shots per game and 10th in expected goals per game. Norwich are 14th in shots per game and 17th in expected goals. In summary both teams are in the bottom half for both shots and the likelihood of finding the net per game.

Even the actual numbers don’t make for pretty reading. United are 9th in goals for, Norwich are 14th. More worryingly they are outperforming their underlying shot numbers.

The market cannot decide whether to go over or under 2.5 goals whereas the evidence suggests strongly that under 2.5 goals at 10/11 (Betfred) is the way to go.

Odds correct at time of publishing: 03:34 19th Dec, 2015 but subject to change

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