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15th Sep 2013 | Football

Swansea v Liverpool Tip

This would have been a winning tip in every Reds league game so far in 2013-14 and it was 0-0 last season.

Liverpool will return to the top of the Premier League if they avoid defeat on Monday night after taking nine points from a possible nine.

Swansea look sure to make it a tough encounter, they could end the Reds’ 100% record, but the best bet looks like taking there to be under 1.5 goals in the match at best odds of 13/5 with BetVictor. That would have been a winning wager in every Liverpool league game so far, each having ended 1-0 courtesy of a Daniel Sturridge strike.

But the reasons to go low in this market extend beyond the form of the Merseysiders. The Swans made a habit of playing out low scoring clashes with the top sides in 2012-13. Michael Laudrup’s boys drew 0-0 with Liverpool last November as well as with Manchester City in May.

Indeed, there were only two goals in each match when Arsenal, Chelsea and Man United visited the Liberty Stadium. So in total, Swansea’s five home matches against the top four plus Liverpool produced just six goals at an average of 1.2 per fixture.

These statistics combine to make odds of 13/5 on there being one goal or fewer look totally wrong.

1pt Under 1.5 goals in the match 13/5 with BetVictor
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 20:10 15th Sep, 2013 but subject to change

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