10th Apr 2013 | Football
Goals Galore Matchday 33
Using statistical analysis we try to eek out a profit in the both teams to score market. Our latest set of predictions suggests there could be plenty of goals this weekend.
In recent years the ‘both teams to score’ market has become a most popular football bet. For the rest of the season we search for a potential edge over the bookmakers in this area. Using past results we have devised a set of simple betting rules:
Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ Votes
• If odds on both teams to score are greater than 5/6
• If team is in the bottom five positions of the league
• If team has one of the five worst defensive records
Both Teams To Score: ‘No’ Votes
• If odds on either team not to score are greater than 6/5
• If Manchester City or Manchester United are involved
• If team has one of the five meanest defensive records
e.g. A match involving two teams in the bottom five, both with one of the five worst defensive records, with odds of 10/11 on both teams to score, would earn a maximum of five ‘yes’ votes and zero ‘no’ votes. The result would be a bet on both teams to score.
For the reminder of the season we will be placing a hypothetical £10 bet when there is a majority of ‘yes’ or ‘no’ votes. If there is an equal number of ‘yes’ and ‘no’ votes we do not place a bet.
Round 33 Bets
Yes - Both Teams To Score
Aston Villa v Fulham 31/40 BetVictor
Everton v QPR Evens William Hill
Reading v Liverpool 8/11 Bet365
Southampton v West Ham 31/40 BetVictor
Newcastle v Sunderland 17/20 BetVictor
No - Both Teams to score
Arsenal v Norwich 20/23 BetVictor
Stoke v Man Utd 4/5 Skybet
Total Staked to date: £1170
Profit/Loss last round: -£32.70
Profit/Loss to date: £147.88
Odds correct at time of publishing: 17:52 10th Apr, 2013 but subject to change