5th Apr 2013 | Football
Goals Galore Matchday 32
Our season-long analysis in the both teams to score market is running at a 16% ROI. We analyse the next round of Premier League fixtures.
In recent years the ‘both teams to score’ market has become a most popular football bet. For the rest of the season we search for a potential edge over the bookmakers in this area. Using past results we have devised a set of simple betting rules:
Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ Votes
• If odds on both teams to score are greater than 5/6
• If team is in the bottom five positions of the league
• If team has one of the five worst defensive records
Both Teams To Score: ‘No’ Votes
• If odds on either team not to score are greater than 6/5
• If Manchester City or Manchester United are involved
• If team has one of the five meanest defensive records
e.g. A match involving two teams in the bottom five, both with one of the five worst defensive records, with odds of 10/11 on both teams to score, would earn a maximum of five ‘yes’ votes and zero ‘no’ votes. The result would be a bet on both teams to score.
For the reminder of the season we will be placing a hypothetical £10 bet when there is a majority of ‘yes’ or ‘no’ votes. If there is an equal number of ‘yes’ and ‘no’ votes we do not place a bet.
Round 32 Bets
Yes - Both Teams To Score
Reading v Southampton 8/13 Skybet
Stoke v Aston Villa Evens William Hill
Liverpool v West Ham 10/11 William Hill
QPR v Wigan 8/11 Skybet
No - Both Teams to score
West Brom v Arsenal 11/8 Coral
Tottenham v Everton Evens Skybet
Man Utd v Man City 11/8 Coral
Total Staked to date: £1100
Profit/Loss last round: £20.90
Profit/Loss to date: £180.58
Odds correct at time of publishing: 13:43 5th Apr, 2013 but subject to change
