14th Mar 2013 | Football
Goals Galore Matchday 30
We continue our season long analysis into the both teams to score market. Honours were shared last weekend with three winning and three losing predictions and a small loss overall.
In recent years the ‘both teams to score’ market has become a most popular football bet. For the rest of the season we search for a potential edge over the bookmakers in this area. Using past results we have devised a set of simple betting rules:
Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ Votes
• If odds on both teams to score are greater than 5/6
• If team is in the bottom five positions of the league
• If team has one of the five worst defensive records
Both Teams To Score: ‘No’ Votes
• If odds on either team not to score are greater than 6/5
• If Manchester City or Manchester United are involved
• If team has one of the five meanest defensive records
e.g. A match involving two teams in the bottom five, both with one of the five worst defensive records, with odds of 10/11 on both teams to score, would earn a maximum of five ‘yes’ votes and zero ‘no’ votes. The result would be a bet on both teams to score.
For the reminder of the season we will be placing a hypothetical £10 bet when there is a majority of ‘yes’ or ‘no’ votes. If there is an equal number of ‘yes’ and ‘no’ votes we do not place a bet.
Round 30 Bets
Yes - Both Teams To Score
Aston Villa v QPR – 3/4 BetVictor
Southampton v Liverpool – 4/6 Ladbrokes
Man Utd v Reading – 11/10 BetVictor
Sunderland v Norwich – 10/11 William Hill
Wigan v Newcastle – 4/6 Blue Square
No - Both Teams to score
Everton v Man City – 6/5 BetVictor
Swansea v Arsenal – 11/8 Coral
Chelsea v West Ham – 11/10 Paddy Power
Total Staked to date: £880
Profit/Loss last round: -£4.70
Profit/Loss to date: £102.88
Odds correct at time of publishing: 19:06 14th Mar, 2013 but subject to change