10th Jan 2013 | Football
Goals Galore Matchday 22
The bookmakers expect both teams to score in the Super Sunday games but our analysis says otherwise.
In recent years the ‘both teams to score’ market has become a most popular football bet. For the rest of the season we search for a potential edge over the bookmakers in this area. Using past results we have devised a set of simple betting rules:
Both Teams To Score - Yes
1. If odds are greater than 5/6
2. Bottom five of the league
3. One of the five worst defence records
Both Teams to score – No
1. If odds are greater than 6/5
2. If Manchester City or Manchester United are involved
3. Top five meanest defensive record
For the reminder of the season we will be placing a hypothetical £10 bet when there is a majority of ‘yes’ or ‘no’ votes. If there is an equal number of ‘yes’ and ‘no’ votes we do not place a bet.
Round 22 Bets
Yes - Both Teams To Score
QPR v Tottenham – 4/6 Bet365
Aston Villa v Southampton – 4/6 Bet365
Fulham v Wigan – 4/6 Bet365
Reading v WBA – 4/6 Blue Square
No - Both Teams to score
Stoke v Chelsea – evens Paddy Power
Man Utd v Liverpool 6/4 Paddy Power
Arsenal v Man City – 6/4 Coral
Round 21 Results
Yes - Both Teams To Score
WBA v Fulham – 8/11 Betfred WIN
Swansea v Aston Villa – 19/20 Coral WIN
Tottenham v Reading – evens Betfred WIN
Chelsea v QPR – 11/10 Paddy Power
Liverpool v Sunderland – 11/10 Stan James
No - Both Teams to score
Man City v Stoke – 7/10 BetVictor WIN
West Ham v Norwich – 23/20 BetVictor
Total Staked to date: £440
Profit/Loss last round: £3.80
Profit/Loss to date: -£49.65
Odds correct at time of publishing: 11:39 10th Jan, 2013 but subject to change