27th Dec 2012 | Football
Goals Galore Matchday 20
Boxing Day went to form with five out of seven winners. We continue our investigation into the ‘both teams to score’ market.
In recent years the ‘both teams to score’ market has become a most popular football bet. For the rest of the season we search for a potential edge over the bookmakers in this area.
Using past results we have devised a set of simple betting rules:
Both Teams To Score - Yes
1. If odds are greater than 5/6
2. Bottom five of the league
3. One of the five worst defence records
Both Teams to score – No
1. If odds are greater than 6/5
2. If Manchester City or Manchester United are involved
3. Top five meanest defensive record
For the reminder of the season we will be placing a hypothetical £10 bet when there is a majority of ‘yes’ or ‘no’ votes. If there is an equal number of ‘yes’ and ‘no’ votes we do not place a bet.
Round 20 Bets
Yes - Both Teams To Score
Aston Villa v Wigan - 4/5 Bet365
Stoke v Southampton - evens Coral
QPR v Liverpool - 4/5 Bet365
No - Both Teams to score
Norwich v Man City - 11/10 Ladbrokes
Everton v Chelsea - 5/4 BetVictor
Round 19 Results
Yes - Both Teams To Score
Everton v Wigan - evens (Boylesports) WIN
Fulham v Southampton - 4/6 (Bet365) WIN
QPR v WBA - 8/11 (Skybet) WIN
Reading v Swansea - 8/13 (Bet365)
Aston Villa v Tottenham - 8/11 (Bet365)
No - Both Teams to score
Norwich v Chelsea - 6/5 (BetVictor) WIN
Sunderland v Man City - 19/20 (William Hill) WIN
Total Staked to date: £250
Profit/Loss last round: £25.50
Profit/Loss to date: -£23.45
Odds correct at time of publishing: 18:46 27th Dec, 2012 but subject to change