12th Dec 2012 | Football
Goals Galore Matchday 17
We continue our hunt for value in the ‘both teams to score’ market and update last weekend’s results.
In recent years the ‘both teams to score’ market has become a most popular football bet. For the rest of the season we search for a potential edge over the bookmakers in this area.
Using past results we have devised a set of simple betting rules:
Both Teams To Score - Yes
1. If odds are greater than 5/6
2. Bottom five of the league
3. One of the five worst defence records
Both Teams to score – No
1. If odds are greater than 6/5
2. If Manchester City or Manchester United are involved
3. Top five meanest defensive record
For the reminder of the season we will be placing a hypothetical £1 bet when there is a majority of ‘yes’ or ‘no’ votes. If there is an equal number of ‘yes’ and ‘no’ votes we do not place a bet.
Round 17 Bets
Yes - Both Teams To Score
Norwich v Wigan – 8/11 (Bet365)
QPR v Fulham – 8/11 (Bet365)
No - Both Teams to score
Newcastle v Man City – 11/10 (Paddy Power)
Man Utd v Sunderland – 4/5 (Skybet)
Stoke v Everton – Evens (Boylesports)
WBA v West Ham – 11/10 (Paddy Power)
Round 16 Results
Yes - Both Teams To Score
Southampton v Reading – 8/13 (Bet365)
Sunderland v Chelsea – Evens (Bet365) WIN
Wigan v QPR – 8/11 (Bet365) WIN
Fulham v Newcastle – 8/11 (Blue Square) WIN
No - Both Teams to score
Arsenal v West Brom – 11/10 (Paddy Power) WIN
Swansea v Norwich – 11/10 (Paddy Power)
Man City v Man Utd – 13/8 (Coral)
Total Staked: £7
Profit/Loss: £0.55
Profit/Loss to date: £0.55
Odds correct at time of publishing: 11:17 12th Dec, 2012 but subject to change