18th Feb 2016 | Europa League

Worth A Few Bobadilla

Worth A Few Bobadilla

Raul Bobadilla averages 5.6 shots per90min in the Europa League and has six goals. Scored against Bayern Munich at the weekend.

On Thursday night Liverpool face an Augsburg team with a peculiar record. They currently languish 14th in the Bundesliga, one point above the relegation zone but their results aren’t reflective of their underlying numbers.

Augsburg are in the top half of the division for shots and shots on target per game yet have only found the net 23 times in 21 games. Conversely they are bottom of the Bundesliga in shots conceded per game (16.6) but have only let in 31 goals and have the 12th worse defence in the league.

The one place where results match underlying shot data is in the Europa League. Augsburg were the entertainers in the group stages with their six matches producing 23 goals. We should upgrade our goal expectations and that leads me to the anytime scorer market.

Raul Bobadilla has six goals in just 372 minutes of Europa League action and found the net against Bayern Munich at the weekend.

The 28-year-old is averaging 5.6 shots per90min in the Europa League with 2.4 coming from within the penalty area. That kind of production makes him an excellent bet at 7/2 (Bet365) to find the net on Thursday night. 

Odds correct at time of publishing: 05:33 18th Feb, 2016 but subject to change

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