2nd Feb 2018 | Premier League
Turf Moor or Turf Less?
10 out of 12 Burnley home games have seen 2 goals or fewer. We can make more money by backing that trend to continue along with City making it 23 wins from 26 in the league.
The mission to find value while still backing Manchester City is ongoing but we may have found a doozy this weekend.
The champions elect are priced around the 2/7 mark to take another three points at Burnley but that gets bumped all the way to 5/2 with Boylesports if we opt for Man City to win and under 2.5 goals in the match.
The assumption is always that City means goals but Burnley league games have only witnessed over 2.5 goals 24% of the time which drops further to 17% if you only include encounters at Turf Moor.
The Clarets will obviously have their work cut out but they still boast the joint 4th best defence in the division and can keep matters highly respectable.
Odds correct at time of publishing: 08:25 2nd Feb, 2018 but subject to change