17th Jan 2018 | FA Cup
Chelsea were very lucky to escape with a draw at home to Leicester at the weekend and this squad is looking knackered and short of ideas. An in-form Championship side defending very well could take advantage.
In the endless pursuit of value we have to be brave and that leads us to the seemingly outrageous prospect of a Norwich City 1-0 win at a best price of 40/1 with Skybet.
Chelsea need another fixture like a hole in the head as their never ending run of Wednesday-Saturday fixtures has produced four draws in a row - the last three all ending 0-0.
Morata is woefully short of confidence and so far nobody else is stepping up when it comes to finding the net. Conte will inevitably ring the changes again here with an early Premier League kick-off on Saturday ahead, swiftly followed by the second leg of the League Cup semi-final against Arsenal.
So Norwich will face plenty of reserves again and they showed in the first tie that they have the defence to cope. Indeed they have now only conceded once in five matches across all competitions.
Their problem is goal-scoring but they recorded an impressive 1-0 win at high-flying Bristol City at the weekend and if they are going to pull off a huge shock we should back this scoreline at nearly three times the price of the straight away win at 14/1.
Odds correct at time of publishing: 06:29 17th Jan, 2018 but subject to change