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30th Apr 2012 | Football

City v United Betting Stats

We examine the statistics of both teams to find some betting angles ahead of this crunch fixture.

Manchester City
Overall record: 2.29 points per game
Home record: 2.88 points per game
Last 8 games: 1.75 points per game
Goals scored per home game: 3.00
Goals conceded per home game: 0.58
Topscorer (Sergio Aguero): 105 minutes per goal
Yellow cards: 1.26 per game
Red cards: 0.14 per game


Manchester United
Overall record: 2.37 points per game
Away record: 2.29 points per game
Last 8 games: 2.37 points per game
Goals scored per away game: 2.11
Goals conceded per away game: 0.76
Topscorer (Wayne Rooney): 99.0 minutes per goal
Yellow cards: 1.29 per game
Red cards: 0.029 per game


Referee: Alan Marriner
Yellow cards: 3.47 (3.04 season average)
Red cards: 0.26 (0.18 season average)
Alan Marriner brandishes 14% more yellow cards and 49% more red cards than the season’s average.


Match Ups Summary

Points: Even
Man City enjoy the best home record in the league with Man Utd holding the best away record, there is very little to pick between the sides.
Draw: 5/2 (Boylesports)

Form: Man Utd
Over the last 8 games, Man Utd have been averaging 0.62 points more than City. They are at a level of form consistent with their performance over the entire season.
United win: 13/5 (BetVictor)

Goals: Man City
City edge this statistic by virtue of home advantage but they face a team with the meanest defence away from home. Attack and defence could cancel each other out.
Man City to win 1-0: 19/2 (BetVictor)

Goalscorer: Sergio Aguero
Although Wayne Rooney has been enjoying the more prolific season, Sergio Aguero edges this head to head because of home advantage.
First Goalscorer Sergio Aguero: 17/2 (Stan James)

Yellow Cards: Below Average
If you combine City and United’s average number of yellow cards, you would expect 2.9 bookings in this game. Even accounting for Alan Marriner being a disciplinarian, this is below average.
Total Booking Points: Under 45 at 3/1 (Ladbrokes)
Yellow Card = 10 points
Red Card = 25 points

Red Cards: Above Average
Combining City and United’s red card frequency you would expect an average number of red cards in this game, but add Alan Marriner’s propensity to send players off and there is an above average risk of a red card in this game. The biggest danger falls on City players who have been shown a combined five red cards this season.
Man City to have a player sent off: 4/1 (Blue Square)

Total Booking Points: Under 45 3/1 with Ladbrokes
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 10:57 30th Apr, 2012 but subject to change