Wimbledon Tip: Lisicki V Kerber

The bookies have decided that of the two ladies who dished out upsets in the round of 16 on Monday, Angelique Kerber is the one bound for the semi-finals at 4/7 (Boylesports). But I think Sabine Lisicki is the value option at best odds of 13/8 with Betfred.

Admittedly, Kerber has impressed at SW19 up till now having progressed serenely even before her 6-1 6-1 thrashing of Kim Clijsters. But I would argue that the Belgian hasn’t been a significant threat on grass for many years now.

The same surely can’t be said of Maria Sharapova. Yet the world number one was beaten 6-4 6-3 by Lisicki to avenge the semi-final clash between the pair in 2011. We must surely treat the 22-year-old as a real threat on this surface as she stands on the brink of consecutive final four appearances at the All-England Club.

Lisicki has an impressive 76% win rate on grass compared to 62% success for Kerber. The bookies are going with the the higher seed again here, but that approach was made to look foolish in the last round.