York Ebor Tips: Blue Surf

Further overnight rain means the going at York is soft for the Ebor (3.50) and that changes the entire complexion of the race. There have been a spate of early non-runners but I expect most connections will chance their arm on unsuitable ground because of the prize on offer.

One horse that should not be inconvenienced by the rain is Blue Surf.

Racing Post Ratings by going description since 2012

Good or quicker: 89-91-89-98-93-99
Good to soft or softer: 97-104-102-100

Blue Surf’s best three performances have come with cut in the ground; his career highlight being a class 2 handicap win at Newbury on heavy ground.

The one concern is the trip. He is yet to win beyond 10f and will be tackling 14f this afternoon. The market assumes he lacks the stamina for the Ebor but I’m not entirely convinced.

On his last couple of starts I think he’s lacked a turn of foot rather than stamina. At Goodwood the leaders powered away two furlongs from home, Blue Surf couldn’t match their acceleration but he plugged on rather than disappear out the back.

The fact his best form is with cut in the ground suggests he could just lack pace rather than stamina. Of course I could be totally wrong but at 40/1 (Stan James) it’s worth taking the chance and back him each-way.

*Best Odds Guaranteed – Stan James
Back Blue Surf with Stan James as they are best price and offer Best Odds Guaranteed. If the starting price (SP) is bigger than the current price, you get paid at the bigger SP.