22nd Jun 2012 | Royal Ascot
Wokingham Pace Chart
We look where the pace is drawn in the big sprint handicap at 4.25 Saturday.
With 29 runners spread across the track in the Wokingham Handicap (4.25 Saturday), the race could be dependant on where the early pace is. Using a method presented by Jon Gibby in the excellent book, “Well-Handicapped Horses” we can rank horses by their early speed. Looking at their last three runs, they are awarded points on how prominently they raced. The horses with the highest numbers are deemed the ‘pace-makers’.
Wokingham Pace Chart
The Wokingham looks like another lopsided race. The three most likely pace-makers are drawn in the bottom ten stalls. There is a strong probability that they race together up the far side of the track meaning anything drawn high is disadvantaged.
It is hard to guess where the split will come but my guess is somewhere around stall 14. Paul Hanagan on one of the fancied runners Alben Star, has a big decision to make.
Odds correct at time of publishing: 11:18 22nd Jun, 2012 but subject to change