Albertsons Boise Open Trends

The Web.com Tour returns to Idaho for the Albertsons Boise Open a fixture on the tour schedule since 1990.

Hillcrest County Club is the host and the par-71 usually gives up plenty of birdies. The winning score over the past five years is 22-under.

These are the winning trends of the past ten years:

Top-70 in all around ranking
With so many strong trends it is no surprise that nine of the last ten winners ranked inside the top-70 of this overarching metric.

Top-70 for actual scoring average
Steve Wheatcroft and Steven Alker contested a playoff having finished on 24-under in 2014. Martin Piller won on 28-under last year. It’s possible to go very low at Hillcrest CC.

Top-70 in birdie average per round
Nine of the last ten winners ranked inside the top-70 on tour for birdie average, no surprise when the winning score is so low.

Top-70 for par-5 scoring
The three par 5s at Hillcrest CC are the three easiest holes on the course and obvious birdie opportunities.

Top-70 for par-4 scoring
Nine of the last ten winners ranked inside the top-70 for par-4 scoring, 2014 winner Steve Wheatcroft was the exception.

Top-70 for birdie or better conversion
It’s an obvious thing to say, but in a low scoring tournament you have to take your opportunities.

Top-70 for bogey avoidance
It is imperative to keep a good score going; eight of the last ten winners limited their errors and ranked inside the top-70 on tour for bogey avoidance.

Top-70 for par-3 scoring
Seven of the last ten winners ranked inside the top-70 for par-3 scoring.

Top-70 for GIRs
To go low you have to hit greens in regulation and eight of the last ten winners ranked inside the top-70 on tour for this metric.

Players that fit all nine trends:
Cheng Tsung Pan 40/1
Chris Baker 40/1
Ted Potter, Jr. 50/1
Zack Sucher 66/1
Ryan Brehm 66/1
JT Poston 80/1
Rick Lamb 80/1
Trey Mullinax 80/1
Ryan Blaum 100/1
Alex Prugh 100/1
Xander Schauffele 110/1
Sam Ryder 200/1
Stephan Jaeger 200/1
Jonathan Byrd 300/1