24th Feb 2012 | General
Free Bet Buster 25/2/2012
We have two cracking cashbacks from Paddy Power and we have found some good ways to exploit their generosity.
Carling Cup Final – Paddy Power
If Steven Gerrard scores anytime in 90 minutes, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st /last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.
Verdict: Steven Gerrard is 2/1 (Betfred) to score anytime, that means we have a 33% chance of having our bet being refunded if the price is a reflection of the true odds. Paddy Power have shortened their odds in the first goalscorer market accordingly, however they still offer a competitive 11/1 on Kenny Miller opening the scoring.
The Scottish forward is Cardiff’s joint top-scorer with 10 goals this season. A fine finisher, if there is a shock at Wembley he is the most likely source.
Selection: Kenny Miller first goalscorer at 11/1 with Paddy Power
Six Nations Cashback – Paddy Power
If the last score in any of this weekend’s matches is a penalty Paddy Power will refund all losing try scorer bets on that match.
Verdict: Although bookmakers don’t price up the odds of the last scoring play of a match, a penalty is 4/11(Ladbrokes) to open the scoring. Penalties are a very common method of getting points on the board.
In one-sided games, teams are more likely to score tries either to get back into the match or to hammer home their advantage. To make the most of this offer we need to focus on what should be the closest contest – England v Wales.
Picking the first tryscorer is a little more difficult. Chris Ashton is a prolific marksman but he’s struggled to adapt to England’s new playing style. At the same price George North is a man in form who sees plenty of the ball. At 9/1 he is the pick to make the most of this excellent offer.
Selection: George North first tryscorer at 9/1 with Paddy Power
Odds correct at time of publishing: 15:35 24th Feb, 2012 but subject to change
