9th Jun 2011 | Formula 1
Canadian Grand Prix Tip: Sebastien Buemi
Has won this bet 50% of the time this season. Even better value because the track suits his eye and his car.
With the top of the market dominated by Sebastian Vettel it is very hard to find any edge. The German world champion is the most likely winner and the prices seem fair. To snare some value we have had to go deeper.
The ‘points finish’ bet often throws up some good odds with ten places up for grabs. The Canadian Grand Prix is a good time to play this market as there are often accidents. In the last three years 9 cars have started outside the top ten and managed what would now be classified as a points finish. Montreal is a circuit where back-markers can pick up some points.
Of the candidates, Sebastien Buemi is the best bet at 13/5. The Torro Rosso has enjoyed its best finishes at low down-force tracks such as China, Australia and Canada. The straight-line speed of the car is actually quite good; it is the corners that cause the problems.
Last year the Swiss driver had his best result of the season finishing 8th in Montreal despite starting 15th on the grid. This season has been similar, with him battling around the fringes. Three top ten finishes has been coupled with three poor results, but on short term history alone he is an evens chance to make the points. Considering this is a track he likes and it suits his car, he is double the odds he should be.
Odds correct at time of publishing: 11:00 9th Jun, 2011 but subject to change