27th Dec 2014 | Horse Racing
Welsh National Tips: Shotgun Paddy
Handles soft/heavy ground, has won over the trip, previous course winner and has a touch of class. Just needs to defy top-weight.
Shotgun Paddy is friendless in the betting for the Welsh National (2.35 Chepstow) on account of carrying top-weight but put that aside for a moment and his claims are excellent.
Emma Lavelle has targeted this race all season and even gave him a spin over hurdles last time to protect his handicap mark.
All four of his wins have come on soft or heavy ground and the 7-year-old has stamina in abundance.
Around this time last year he won a competitive Grade 3 handicap at Warwick over 3m5f all the more impressive because he was still classed as a novice chaser.
This afternoon’s trip and ground should pose no problems and he’s also got good course form to his name. The undulations at Chepstow make it a tricky course to master but Shotgun Paddy has finished 131 in three visits to the Welsh track.
Carrying 11-12 makes life trickier but he’s got weight because he’s theoretically the best horse in the race. In reality he could be even better. At 10/1 (Bet365) he is a decent bet.
*Best Odds Guaranteed – Bet365
Back Shotgun Paddy with Bet365 as they are best price and offer Best Odds Guaranteed. If the starting price (SP) is bigger than the current price, you get paid at the bigger SP.
Channel 4/1 Race Offer - Bet365
This race is a Bet365 feature race: Back any single winner at 4/1 or more on a live Channel 4 race and you can have a free bet to the same stake (£50 max.) on the next Channel 4 race.
Odds correct at time of publishing: 08:22 27th Dec, 2014 but subject to change
