Salisbury Draw Bias: 6f

21st May 2013 | Horse Racing

Salisbury six furlong draw bias

Track: Salisbury
Distance: 6f
Stalls: Low

Summary: Stalls 1-4 are at a slight disadvantage.

Moving Average: Actual v Expected wins (2008 to 2012)
salisbury 6f draw bias
Graph depicts number of actual wins above or below expected number of wins, when taking into account bookmaker margin. E.g. If a horse raced 10 times from stall one, each time with an SP of 9/1, you would expect 1 winner and the difference between actual & expected wins = 0

To get around the problem of a small sample size, I have used a moving average. This groups together adjacent stalls (two either side) as a block.

Conclusion: Despite having the rail to race against a low draw is a slight disadvantage. The sample size is too small to draw any firm conclusions about being drawn in stall 14 or above.

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Featured Tips

1st Oct 17:20 | Horse Racing

5.20 Nottingham

Dusty Storm to win @ 9/1

Victory at Brighton saw her recapture the form she showed as a 3-year-old when she was running consistently to a mark in the mid-80s.

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Featured Tips

Recent Winners

Tips & Advice

Nottingham Tips: Dusty Storm

Victory at Brighton saw her recapture the form she showed as a 3-year-old when she was running consistently to a mark in the mid-80s.

Wolverhampton Tips: Red Cape

Has run well at the track recently despite being hassled for the lead. Capable of winning if Dale Swift can conserve some energy.

Market Movers: High Secret

Sir Mark Prescott is up to his usual tricks with High Secret a 58 rated horse who was an easy winner on his last start. Expect him to rack up a series of wins from his lowly mark.

Hamilton Tips: Bajan Bear

Finished first of the low drawn horses in the Ayr Bronze Cup and relishes these big field handicaps.

Haydock Tips: High On Life

Not disgraced when finishing five lengths behind Muthmir in the Portland. Slight drop in trip could make the difference to this speedball.

Ripon Tips: Confessional

Finished third over course and distance in the Great St Wilfrid and unlikely to face the same pace pressure in a smaller field.

Wolverhampton Tips: Indastar

Won over course and distance in a very fast time for the grade. Lightly raced and can string together a series of quick wins off a low mark.

Kempton Tips: Arctic Lynx

Has placed 67% of the time in this grade and Freddie Tylicki has been runner-up on him twice in only two starts.

Beverley Tips: Iptisam

Lightly raced due to injuries but ran a good time figure when second in a 5f Listed race at Lingfield back in March.

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