Salisbury Draw Bias: 6f

21st May 2013 | Horse Racing

Salisbury six furlong draw bias

Track: Salisbury
Distance: 6f
Stalls: Low

Summary: Stalls 1-4 are at a slight disadvantage.

Moving Average: Actual v Expected wins (2008 to 2012)
salisbury 6f draw bias
Graph depicts number of actual wins above or below expected number of wins, when taking into account bookmaker margin. E.g. If a horse raced 10 times from stall one, each time with an SP of 9/1, you would expect 1 winner and the difference between actual & expected wins = 0

To get around the problem of a small sample size, I have used a moving average. This groups together adjacent stalls (two either side) as a block.

Conclusion: Despite having the rail to race against a low draw is a slight disadvantage. The sample size is too small to draw any firm conclusions about being drawn in stall 14 or above.

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Recent Winners

Tips & Advice

Beverley Tips: Iptisam

Lightly raced due to injuries but ran a good time figure when second in a 5f Listed race at Lingfield back in March.

Leicester Tips: Taajub

Finished an unlucky tenth in the race last year but arrives in better form and races off a 5lbs lower mark.

Ayr Gold Cup Tips: Blaine

Proven at this level, has an excellent draw and his trainer has won two of the last three renewals of the race.

Ayr Tips: Foxtrot Romeo

Travels noticeably well when chasing a strong pace and the Silver Cup looks the ideal test for him.

Ayr Tips: Bajan Bear

Has thrived since moving to Dandy Nicholls and his performance at Thirsk, runner-up from a bad draw, was impressive.


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