Salisbury Draw Bias: 6f

21st May 2013 | Horse Racing

Salisbury six furlong draw bias

Track: Salisbury
Distance: 6f
Stalls: Low

Summary: Stalls 1-4 are at a slight disadvantage.

Moving Average: Actual v Expected wins (2008 to 2012)
salisbury 6f draw bias
Graph depicts number of actual wins above or below expected number of wins, when taking into account bookmaker margin. E.g. If a horse raced 10 times from stall one, each time with an SP of 9/1, you would expect 1 winner and the difference between actual & expected wins = 0

To get around the problem of a small sample size, I have used a moving average. This groups together adjacent stalls (two either side) as a block.

Conclusion: Despite having the rail to race against a low draw is a slight disadvantage. The sample size is too small to draw any firm conclusions about being drawn in stall 14 or above.

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Featured Tips

20th Dec 15:40 | Horse Racing

3.40 Lingfield

Triple Star to win @ 6/1

Has a decent sprint finish for this level and was unlucky to bump into an unexposed horse last time.

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Featured Tips

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Tips & Advice

Lingfield Tips: Uramazin

Previously a smart performer but hasn’t won for a long time. Showed signs of life when a fair third at Wolverhampton.

Southwell Tips: Wimboldsley

Closed in a rapid 22.3s at Lingfield despite racing in a class 6 handicap. Step up in trip and switch to a more galloping track should suit.

Market Movers: Rezwaan

Rezwaan hasn't shown much form of late but is a previous course and distance winner and has slipped to a handy mark. He's been backed from 8/1 into 9/4 to win the 4.45 Kempton.

Kempton Tips: Valbchek

Ran well last week despite finishing closer to the far rail than is ideal and should come on for the run.

Market Movers: Razor Wind

With a race record that reads 32212 you would expect Razor Wind to be in the shake-up for the 2.35 Lingfield. He's now odds-on having opened at odds against.

Kempton Tips: Temple Road

Has been running well and the slight ease in grade combined with a return to Kempton can see him win again.

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