Salisbury Draw Bias: 6f

21st May 2013 | Horse Racing

Salisbury six furlong draw bias

Track: Salisbury
Distance: 6f
Stalls: Low

Summary: Stalls 1-4 are at a slight disadvantage.

Moving Average: Actual v Expected wins (2008 to 2012)
salisbury 6f draw bias
Graph depicts number of actual wins above or below expected number of wins, when taking into account bookmaker margin. E.g. If a horse raced 10 times from stall one, each time with an SP of 9/1, you would expect 1 winner and the difference between actual & expected wins = 0

To get around the problem of a small sample size, I have used a moving average. This groups together adjacent stalls (two either side) as a block.

Conclusion: Despite having the rail to race against a low draw is a slight disadvantage. The sample size is too small to draw any firm conclusions about being drawn in stall 14 or above.

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Recent Winners

Tips & Advice

Doncaster Tips: Desert Law

Every chance Paul Midgley can rejuvenate this formally useful Godolphin sprinter. Potentially well drawn in stall 22.

Chelmsford Tips: Megaleka

A big improver over the past 12 months but a 21.73s sectional at Lingfield suggests she can still defy her mark.

Wolverhampton Tips: Divine Call

Off a career low mark and although beaten 3.5 lengths last time he clocked a similar sectional to the winner and didn’t get a clear run.

Wolverhampton: Lightscameraction

Ran a rapid 21.54s closing sectional on his last start, matching strides with the winner but started his run from further back.

Grand National NRMB

William Hill are best odds guaranteed and non-runner money-back on the Grand National.

Lingfield Tips: Peak Storm

Ran joint fastest closing sectional last time but started his run from further back than the winner because of a poor draw.

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