Salisbury Draw Bias: 6f

21st May 2013 | Horse Racing

Salisbury six furlong draw bias

Track: Salisbury
Distance: 6f
Stalls: Low

Summary: Stalls 1-4 are at a slight disadvantage.

Moving Average: Actual v Expected wins (2008 to 2012)
salisbury 6f draw bias
Graph depicts number of actual wins above or below expected number of wins, when taking into account bookmaker margin. E.g. If a horse raced 10 times from stall one, each time with an SP of 9/1, you would expect 1 winner and the difference between actual & expected wins = 0

To get around the problem of a small sample size, I have used a moving average. This groups together adjacent stalls (two either side) as a block.

Conclusion: Despite having the rail to race against a low draw is a slight disadvantage. The sample size is too small to draw any firm conclusions about being drawn in stall 14 or above.

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Featured Tips

31st Jul 14:35 | Horse Racing

2.35 Goodwood (Thu)

Fox Trotter e/w @ 14/1

Impressive winner on his debut and should come on bundles. Ivawood will be hard to beat but a top-3 finish is there for the taking.

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31st Jul 15:10 | Horse Racing

3.10 Goodwood (Thu)

Cavalryman to win @ 11/2

Arrives in much better form (121 last three starts) than when sixth in the race last year.

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Featured Tips

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Tips & Advice

Goodwood Cup Tips: Fox Trotter

Impressive winner on his debut and should come on bundles. Ivawood will be hard to beat but a top-3 finish is there for the taking.

Goodwood Tips: Snow Sky

Paid the price for chasing a strong pace at Royal Ascot but his Lingfield Derby Trial win was impressive and his trainer has an excellent record in the race.

Goodwood Tips: Pallister

Has been winning at 6f but his dam won the Yorkshire Oaks and likely to be suited by the step up in trip.

Channel 4/1 Race Offer

Back any single winner at 4/1 or more on a live Channel 4 race and have a free bet to the same stake (£50 max.) on the next Channel 4 race with Bet365.

Glorious Goodwood: Day 1

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Goodwood Tips: Amarillo

His German form is underrated but he is a Group-class and travelled strongly when winning last time out over an inadequate 6f.


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