Salisbury Draw Bias: 6f

21st May 2013 | Horse Racing

Salisbury six furlong draw bias

Track: Salisbury
Distance: 6f
Stalls: Low

Summary: Stalls 1-4 are at a slight disadvantage.

Moving Average: Actual v Expected wins (2008 to 2012)
salisbury 6f draw bias
Graph depicts number of actual wins above or below expected number of wins, when taking into account bookmaker margin. E.g. If a horse raced 10 times from stall one, each time with an SP of 9/1, you would expect 1 winner and the difference between actual & expected wins = 0

To get around the problem of a small sample size, I have used a moving average. This groups together adjacent stalls (two either side) as a block.

Conclusion: Despite having the rail to race against a low draw is a slight disadvantage. The sample size is too small to draw any firm conclusions about being drawn in stall 14 or above.

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Featured Tips

26th Jul 14:20 | Horse Racing

2.20 York

Dutch Rose to win @ 11/2

Unbeaten in four starts over course and distance and recorded a career best when successful in May.

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26th Jul 15:30 | Horse Racing

3.30 York

Zalty to win @ 9/1

Beaten only half a length in a valuable handicap at the Curragh when he almost overcame a four length draw bias.

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26th Jul 17:15 | Horse Racing

5.15 York

Olivia Fallow to win @ 14/1

Had no chance last time out when almost unseating her rider but she was an impressive winner on her penultimate start.

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Featured Tips

Recent Winners

Tips & Advice

Skybet Dash Tips: Zalty

Beaten only half a length in a valuable handicap at the Curragh when he almost overcame a four length draw bias.

York Tips: Olivia Fallow

Had no chance last time out when almost unseating her rider but she was an impressive winner on her penultimate start.

York Tips: Dutch Rose

Unbeaten in four starts over course and distance and recorded a career best when successful in May.

Lingfield Tips: Rylee Mooch

Been running well on turf but a better horse on the all-weather. Should capitalise on a declining handicap mark in a weak looking race for the grade.

Lingfield Tips: Multitask

Course and distance record this year is 1711 and his finishing kick should be too strong for this grade.

Market Movers: Pabusar

Pabusar hails from a stable that like a gamble and he's been backed from 33/1 into 7/2. His current form has been abysmal but he could be very well handicapped if rediscovering any of his old ability.

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