Salisbury Draw Bias: 6f

21st May 2013 | Horse Racing

Salisbury six furlong draw bias

Track: Salisbury
Distance: 6f
Stalls: Low

Summary: Stalls 1-4 are at a slight disadvantage.

Moving Average: Actual v Expected wins (2008 to 2012)
salisbury 6f draw bias
Graph depicts number of actual wins above or below expected number of wins, when taking into account bookmaker margin. E.g. If a horse raced 10 times from stall one, each time with an SP of 9/1, you would expect 1 winner and the difference between actual & expected wins = 0

To get around the problem of a small sample size, I have used a moving average. This groups together adjacent stalls (two either side) as a block.

Conclusion: Despite having the rail to race against a low draw is a slight disadvantage. The sample size is too small to draw any firm conclusions about being drawn in stall 14 or above.

Tips & Advice

Nottingham Tips: Doc Hay

Going and trip ideal, meanwhile the favourite is too short considering he is on the comeback trail from a bad injury.

Redcar Tips: Dodina

Trainer Brian Ellison has a 41% strike rate in sellers and has the best horse in the race.


Next Races

  1. 1.25 Beverley

    1m 100y Promote Your Horse Pre-Auction At Racehorsetrader.Com Selling Stakes

    not yet priced

  2. 1.45 Newmarket

    7f Alex Scott Maiden Stakes (Bobis Race)

    Favourite: Provident Spirit

  3. 1.55 Beverley

    5f New Cleverly's Bar And Bistro Maiden Auction Stakes (Div 1)

    not yet priced

  4. 2.05 Cheltenham

    2m 4f 110y Citipost Novices' Hurdle

    Favourite: Garde La Victoire

  5. 2.20 Newmarket

    5f Horsesource Seabuckthorn Conditions Stakes (Bobis Race)

    Favourite: Harry Hurricane