Salisbury Draw Bias: 6f

21st May 2013 | Horse Racing

Salisbury six furlong draw bias

Track: Salisbury
Distance: 6f
Stalls: Low

Summary: Stalls 1-4 are at a slight disadvantage.

Moving Average: Actual v Expected wins (2008 to 2012)
salisbury 6f draw bias
Graph depicts number of actual wins above or below expected number of wins, when taking into account bookmaker margin. E.g. If a horse raced 10 times from stall one, each time with an SP of 9/1, you would expect 1 winner and the difference between actual & expected wins = 0

To get around the problem of a small sample size, I have used a moving average. This groups together adjacent stalls (two either side) as a block.

Conclusion: Despite having the rail to race against a low draw is a slight disadvantage. The sample size is too small to draw any firm conclusions about being drawn in stall 14 or above.

Recent Winners

Tips & Advice

Market Movers: Global Leader

Global Leader hasn't shown much in four starts but he's been gelded since his last run and a drop in trip looks in his favour. The money has come, backed from 11/2 into 11/8.

Market Movers: Piazon

Piazon lost his last race at the start but if he breaks on terms he has a good chance in the 3.35 Yarmouth. There has been plenty of overnight money, his price shortening from 7/4 to 10/11.

Nothing Fishy About Piscean

Has been running well but races haven’t unfolded in his favour; needs a strong pace but could get that today.

Archive

Next Races

  1. 1.55 Beverley

    5f Beverley Minster Maiden Auction Fillies' Stakes

    not yet priced

  2. 2.10 Warwick

    6f Breeders Backing Racing Ebf Maiden Stakes

    not yet priced

  3. 2.20 Perth

    2m 110y Crabbie's Alcoholic Ginger Beer Novices' Hurdle

    not yet priced

  4. 2.30 Beverley

    7f 100y Mayday Raceday Here Monday 5th May Handicap

    Favourite: Uplifted

    5/16.00
  5. 2.40 Warwick

    6f Turftv Handicap

    Favourite: Commanche

    5/16.00