menu

21st May 2013 | Horse Racing

Salisbury Draw Bias: 6f

Salisbury six furlong draw bias

We analyse the draw bias at Salisbury six furlong track.

Track: Salisbury
Distance: 6f
Stalls: Low

Summary: Stalls 1-4 are at a slight disadvantage.

Moving Average: Actual v Expected wins (2008 to 2012)
salisbury 6f draw bias
Graph depicts number of actual wins above or below expected number of wins, when taking into account bookmaker margin. E.g. If a horse raced 10 times from stall one, each time with an SP of 9/1, you would expect 1 winner and the difference between actual & expected wins = 0

To get around the problem of a small sample size, I have used a moving average. This groups together adjacent stalls (two either side) as a block.

Conclusion: Despite having the rail to race against a low draw is a slight disadvantage. The sample size is too small to draw any firm conclusions about being drawn in stall 14 or above.

Best Free Bets

Next Races

  1. 1.40 Salisbury

    1m Whitsbury Manor Stud EBF Stallions Novice Stakes (Plus 10)

    Favourite: Justice Law

    9/43.25
  2. 2.00 Haydock

    1m 3f 200y Betfred Home Of Goals Galore Maiden Stakes

    Favourite: Star Storm

    5/42.25
  3. 2.10 Salisbury

    6f 212y Irish Yearling Sales Nursery

    Favourite: Novinophobia

    2/13.00
  4. 2.20 Sedgefield

    2m 178y Juvenile Hurdle

    Favourite: Cooper

    11/102.10
  5. 2.30 Haydock

    6f Betfred Mobile ebfstallions.com Maiden Stakes

    Favourite: Ikerrin Road

    9/43.25