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14th Jul 2020 | Workaday Charity Open

The Memorial Tournament Trends

The Memorial Tournament

We look at the trends needed to win the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village Golf Club.

This week the PGA Tour remains at Jack Nicklaus’ home town for the Memorial Tournament. Like the Workday Charity Open the event is played at the Muirfield Village Golf Club. The course is never usually kind to rookies, although Collin Morikawa triumphed last week on his first visit. The course promises to be set-up with faster greens but the trees aren’t moving!

Here are the trends needed to win the Memorial Tournament based on the last 13 Memorial champions (and Collin Morikawa):

Top-60 for par-5 scoring
With four par 5s measuring between 527 and 567 yards it is obvious where the birdies are most achievable. 12 of the last 14 winners ranked in the top-60 on tour for par 5 scoring.

Top-60 on tour for scoring average
Of the last 14 winners, only two ranked outside the top-40 on tour for adjusted scoring average. (William McGirt & David Lingmerth).

Top-60 on tour for strokes gained tee-to-green
The last 14 ranked inside the top-60 for strokes gained tee-to-green, with 11 champions ranked inside the top-20.

Top-60 on tour for birdie average
The average winning score over the last five years has been 15-under, with past champions all being prolific birdie makers.

Players that fit all four trends:
Brian Harman
Bryson DeChambeau
Carlos Ortiz
Collin Morikawa
Corey Conners
Daniel Berger
Dustin Johnson
Gary Woodland
Hideki Matsuyama
Jon Rahm
Justin Thomas
Patrick Cantlay
Patrick Reed
Rory McIlroy
Scottie Scheffler
Sungjae Im
Viktor Hovland
Webb Simpson
Xander Schauffele

Patrick Cantlay to win 14/1 with William Hill
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 11:31 14th Jul, 2020 but subject to change