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3rd Jan 2018 | Tournament Of Champions

Tournament Of Champions Trends

Tournament Of Champions Trends - PGA Tour Tips

The PGA Tour re-starts in Hawaii with the Tournament of Champions. We look at past winning trends.

The New Year heralds the re-start of the PGA Tour season and the action gets underway in Hawaii on Thursday. The winners-only competition has been held on the Plantation Course at the Kapalua Resort since 1999 and although the line-up is constantly evolving, the course has remained relatively unchanged.

With four par-5s and only three par-3s, Kapalua is the only par-73 event on the tour’s schedule, but it doesn’t favour the long hitter. Even modest hitters can get good yardage off the tee, in 2012 Kapalua had the easiest greens to hit on tour. Putting has therefore proved key, as we examine the trends of the last ten winners.

Top-60 on tour for putting average
In the last ten years statistically the ‘worst’ putter to win the Tournament of Champions was 2013 winner Dustin Johnson but his numbers were exacerbated by a poor second half to 2013 when his putting fell apart. Generally, the best putters come to the fore, Steve Stricker the 2012 champion being a prime example. Ten of the last eleven winners ranked in the top-60 on tour for putting average.

Top-60 on tour for 3-putt avoidance
GIRs might be easy to find at Kapalua, but with greens measuring 8,000-square feet, getting close to the pin can be difficult. In 2012 the tournament had the highest average number of putts per round on tour. GIRs can turn into bogeys with sloppy putting. Six of the last seven winners ranked inside the top-50 on tour for 3-putt avoidance.

Top-60 on tour for birdie or better conversions
Jordan Spieth scorched the course winning on 30-under in 2016 but usually the winning score is around the 20-under mark. Players need to convert their birdie opportunities with the median winner over the past ten years ranked 23rd in birdie or better conversion. Last year Justin Thomas led the tour in birdie or better conversion. 

Top-60 on tour for par-5 scoring
The par-5s represent the best scoring opportunities and the last eleven winners ranked on average 30th on tour for par-5 scoring.

Players that fit all four trends:
Justin Thomas
Marc Leishman
Pat Perez
Patrick Cantlay

Justin Thomas to win 7/1 with Paddypower
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 10:08 3rd Jan, 2018 but subject to change

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