28th Jul 2020 | St Jude Invitational

St. Jude Invitational Trends

TPC Southwind

The St Jude Classic has been upgraded to a WGC event and moved in the schedule. We look at the trends needed to win at TPC Southwind.

The St Jude Classic was upgraded to a WGC event last year and moved in the calendar but the course is the same. Ranked amongst the hardest (non-major) par-70s on tour, TPC Southwind demands accuracy, with fairways and greens at a premium.

A par 70 course with only two par-5s, the object is to keep the ball in play and in good positions. In 2012, the tournament averaged 2.82 birdies per round, the seventh-lowest all season.

Here are the trends needed to win the St. Jude Classic based on the last twelve champions (excluding Lee Westwood):

Top-60 for adjusted scoring average
A mixture of strong putters (Brian Gay & Justin Leonard) and power hitters (Brooks Koepka & Dustin Johnson) have won in recent years but what ties them together is a good adjusted scoring average. A player can be a demon with the flat stick or get the ball close with approach shots. Either way is valid as long as they fashion a score.

Top-60 for proximity to the hole
On a difficult course there is a premium on quality approach play. The last twelve winners averaged 55th on tour for approach shot proximity. 

Top-60 on tour for par-4 scoring
With only two par-5s players will have to find birdies elsewhere on the course and that means playing the par-4s well.

Players that fit all three trends:
Adam Hadwin
Hideki Matsuyama
Joaquin Niemann
Justin Thomas
Sungjae Im
Tony Finau
Tyrrell Hatton
Viktor Hovland
Webb Simpson

Hideki Matsuyama to win 33/1 with William Hill
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 08:24 28th Jul, 2020 but subject to change

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