5th Jun 2017 | St Jude Classic

St. Jude Classic Trends

TPC Southwind

We look at the trends needed to win the St. Jude Classic at TPC Southwind.

With the US Open starting a week on Thursday, this is the last opportunity for players to find some form. Ranked the hardest (non-major) par-70 on tour, TPC Southwind demands accuracy, with fairways and greens at a premium.

A par 70 course with only two par-5s, the object is to keep the ball in play and in good positions. In 2012, the tournament averaged 2.82 birdies per round, the seventh-lowest all season.

Here are the trends needed to win the St. Jude Classic based on the last ten champions (excluding Lee Westwood):

Top-60 for adjusted scoring average
A mixture of strong putters (Brian Gay & Justin Leonard) and power hitters (Harrison Frazar & Dustin Johnson) have won in recent years but what ties them together is a good adjusted scoring average. A player can be a demon with the flat stick or get the ball close with approach shots. Either way is valid as long as they fashion a score.

Top-60 for proximity to the hole
On a difficult course there is a premium on quality approach play. The last nine winners averaged 59th on tour for approach shot proximity. 

Top-60 on tour for par-4 scoring
With only two par-5s players will have to find birdies elsewhere on the course and that means playing the par-4s well.

Players that fit all three trends:
Chez Reavie
Keegan Bradley
Kyle Stanley
Rickie Fowler
Steve Stricker
Stewart Cink

Rickie Fowler to win tbc with Bet365
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 05:01 5th Jun, 2017 but subject to change

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