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21st Jun 2016 | Quicken Loans National

Quicken Loans National Trends

Quicken Loans National Trends

The Quicken Loans National returns to Congressional and another tough week could be in store for the US Open also-rans. We look at the trends of past winners.

Congressional Country Club hosts the Quicken Loans National for a seventh time and after a brief hiatus (played at Robert Trent Jones course last year) it should provide a stern test. In 2014 it was the hardest par-71 on tour (excluding majors) and only 10 players finished in the red.

Congressional plays as a par-71, as it did in the 2011 US Open, with the sixth hole converted into a par-5. At 7,569 yards it is the second longest course on tour behind Torrey Pines South.

These are the trends of the last six winners of the Quicken Loans National at Congressional:

Top-70 on tour for adjusted scoring average
Perhaps the most important metric all week, the last five winners ranked inside the top-20 for scoring average on tour. The cream usually rises to the top at Congressional.

Top-70 on tour for strokes gained putting
Congressional might be long but it isn’t a bombers’ course. The tournament is often won on the greens, five of the last six winners ranked inside the top-70 for strokes gained putting.

Top-70 on tour for strokes gained around the greens
The rough is long and the greens firm, putting an emphasis on scrambling. Five of the last six winners ranked inside the top-70 on tour for this metric.

Top-70 on tour for strokes gained tee-to-green
The honours board is full of top-class players and the last five winners ranked inside the top-50 for strokes gained tee-to-green.

Top-70 on tour for strokes gained approach-to-green
Congressional is not the sort of course you can win on if one facet of your game isn’t working. A common thread amongst past winners has been the ability to gained strokes on the field with thier approach play.

Players that fit four out of the five trends:
Rickie Fowler 14/1
Charley Hoffman 33/1
Kevin Chappell 40/1
Roberto Castro 50/1
Patton Kizzire 100/1
Tim Wilkinson 150/1

Rickie Fowler to win 14/1 with Paddypower
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 14:03 21st Jun, 2016 but subject to change

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