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1st Feb 2021 | Phoenix Open

Phoenix Open Golf Trends

16th at TPC Scottsdale

There are numerous ways to win at TPC Scottsdale; we look at the most successful trends of the past twelve years.

The PGA Tour travels to Arizona this week for one of the most popular tournaments on the circuit. The four-day attendance regularly tops 500,000 (pre-covid) creating a unique atmosphere at the event.

TPC Scottsdale provides the venue for the Waste Management Phoenix Open, an iconic venue for many golf fans. The par-3 16th generates a raucous atmosphere and the modern day amphitheatre can be a daunting arena for golfers not used to cheers or boos after their shots.

Let’s look at the previous 13 winners to see if they offer any clues:

Top-70 for par-5 scoring average
The three par-5s all average around the 550-yard mark and all are reachable in two. 12 of the last 13 winners ranked inside the top-70 for par-5 scoring average.

Top-70 for rough proximity
A slightly spurious trend because missing fairways brings desert into play not just rough. Nevertheless, 9 of the last 13 winners ranked in the top-70 for approach shot accuracy when playing from the rough.

Top-70 for all-around ranking
A solid all-round game is desirable. 11 of the last 13 winners ranked inside the top-70 for the PGA Tour’s all-around ranking.

Top-70 for strokes gained tee-to-green
TPC Scottsdale has always been a ball-striker’s course and Tom Weiskopf’s renovations have furthered their cause. 12 of the last 13 winners ranked inside the top-70 in strokes gained tee-to-green. 

Players that fit all four trends:
Corey Conners
Daniel Berger
Hideki Matsuyama
Kevin Streelman
Ryan Palmer
Scottie Scheffler
Sungjae Im
Webb Simpson
Will Gordon

Hideki Matsuyama to win 22/1 with Bet365
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 14:18 1st Feb, 2021 but subject to change

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