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8th Feb 2022 | Phoenix Open

Phoenix Open Golf Trends

16th at TPC Scottsdale

There are numerous ways to win at TPC Scottsdale; we look at the most successful trends of the past 14 years.

The PGA Tour travels to Arizona this week for one of the most popular tournaments on the circuit. The four-day attendance regularly tops 500,000 (pre-covid) creating a unique atmosphere at the event.

TPC Scottsdale provides the venue for the Waste Management Phoenix Open, an iconic venue for many golf fans. The par-3 16th generates a raucous atmosphere and the modern day amphitheatre can be a daunting arena for golfers not used to cheers or boos after their shots.

Let’s look at the previous 14 winners to see if they offer any clues:

Top-70 for par-5 scoring average
The three par-5s all average around the 550-yard mark and all are reachable in two. 13 of the last 14 winners ranked inside the top-70 for par-5 scoring average.

Top-70 for rough proximity
A slightly spurious trend because missing fairways brings desert into play not just rough. Nevertheless, 10 of the last 14 winners ranked in the top-70 for approach shot accuracy when playing from the rough.

Top-70 for all-around ranking
A solid all-round game is desirable. 12 of the last 14 winners ranked inside the top-70 for the PGA Tour’s all-around ranking.

Top-70 for strokes gained tee-to-green
TPC Scottsdale has always been a ball-striker’s course and Tom Weiskopf’s renovations have furthered their cause. 13 of the last 14 winners ranked inside the top-70 in strokes gained tee-to-green. 

Players that fit all four trends:
Joel Dahmen
Jon Rahm
Jordan Spieth
Martin Laird
Matt Fitzpatrick
Matt Jones
Russell Henley
Seamus Power
Tom Hoge
Troy Merritt
Webb Simpson

Webb Simpson to win 45/1 with Bet365
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 18:02 8th Feb, 2022 but subject to change

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