21st May 2018 | Fort Worth Invitational
Fort Worth Invitational Trends
We look at the profile of the last eleven winners at Colonial to narrow down this week’s field.
The PGA Tour stays in Texas this week for the re-branded Fort Worth Invitational at Colonial, a par-70 course of middling difficulty.
The last sixteen champions had already won on tour before tasting success at Colonial. It is an event that favours experience.
These are the trends needed to win at Colonial based on the last eleven champions:
Top-60 on tour for strokes gained tee-to-green
Colonial is a course you plot your way around. Ten of the last eleven winners all ranked inside the top-60 on tour for strokes gained tee-to-green.
Top-60 on tour for all-around ranking
Colonial is a good all round test, you need to hit the ball straight, find plenty of greens and putt well. All of the last eleven winners ranked inside the top-60 for the tour’s all-around ranking.
Top-60 on tour for scoring average
On his way to victory in 2011, David Toms ranked T2 for birdies and 69th for bogeys. It’s a simple equation; make plenty of birdies and keep dropped shots off the card. Ten of the last eleven winners were all capable of this and ranked in the top-60 on tour for adjusted scoring average.
Top-60 on tour for par-4 scoring
Being a par-70 the bulk of scoring is on par-4s. Nine of the last eleven winners ranked inside the top-60 for this metric.
Top-60 on tour for birdie average
The average winning score of the last 10 years is 14.5-under par; therefore you need to make birdies to win. Jordan Spieth made 22 of them on the way to victory in 2016.
Players that fit all five trends
Odds correct at time of publishing: 19:43 21st May, 2018 but subject to change