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18th Jan 2016 | Premier League

Swansea Strikers Must Score Eventually

Swansea v Watford Tips: Swansea Strikers Must Score Eventually

Offensively the teams are separated by 0.2 shots per game but results have been fuelled by divergent conversions rates, which should return to the mean long term.

Neither team approaches Monday Night Football in particularly good form and that is reflecting in the betting, where all three outcomes are a similar price. It might seem a bold move backing Swansea at the moment but home advantage could prove crucial in the encounter.


The Swans aren’t actually playing too badly, they are 13th in terms of shots per game, just one place below Watford, the problem has been converting those chances. They are the second lowest scorers in the division and six goals worse off than their opponents.

Watford’s season has been fuelled by good conversion rates (thanks to Ighalo and Deeney) and ultimately that is what separates the teams. As the season progresses I expect the gap to narrow and a win for Swansea would leave them 7 points behind Watford.

That seems a realistic possibility and a Swansea win at 29/20 (William Hill) is the play.

1pt Swansea to win 29/20 with William Hill
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 13:36 18th Jan, 2016 but subject to change

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