12th Mar 2016 | Premier League
Swansea Edge To Safety
Only three points separate respective home and away records and there is little to pick between the teams.
Back-to-back wins have brought Bournemouth and Swansea to the brink of safety and victory for either on Saturday should ensure survival.
The bookmakers are strongly in favour of a home win at 19/20 but I think all three results are equally likely.
Bournemouth have amassed 16 points (from 14 games) at the Vitality Stadium whilst Swansea have taken a similar amount of points (13) on their travels from the same number of games.
Both teams have a similar goal difference and comparable underlying metrics. Bournemouth and Swansea are good defensively but don’t score enough goals.
In a match where all three results are equally likely the 18/5 (BetVictor) on a Swansea win is the value.
Odds correct at time of publishing: 05:29 12th Mar, 2016 but subject to change
