1st Feb 2018 | Premier League
Premier League Relegation: Latest Odds & Analysis
It's so tight at the bottom of the Premier League that you are guaranteed double figure odds if you pick the 3 sides who will go down.
The battle to stay in the Premier League is set to be one of the mostly keenly contested in years with 11-12 clubs still in legitimate peril. So what do the bookies make of it with 13 matches to go?
(Only best odds to be relegated given below)
West Brom: 20th - 20pts (5/4 WilliamHill)
You can still get odds-against on the Baggies falling through the trapdoor despite currently sitting bottom and 4 points from safety. The rationale must be that their form hasn’t been bad lately and Sturridge could prove an inspired loan saying. The next game at home to Southampton looks huge.
Swansea: 19th - 23pts (Evens Bet365)
This is the first time the bookies have considered Swansea a 50-50 prospect to stay up since the start of November. The impact of new boss Carvalhal has been immense with back-to-back wins coming against Liverpool and Arsenal. The big question is whether this is just a ‘bounce’ with the reality being they are still deep in the mire.
Southampton: 18th - 23pts (4/1 Ladbrokes)
The Saints are the real outlier down the bottom with the oddsmakers still convinced they will get their act together. We backed them for value at 18/1 for relegation in early November and at the very least we’re getting a real run for our money! The suspicion must be that Pellegrino will get the chop soon after 12 winless league matches and then the subsequent appointment will be season-defining.
Huddersfield: 17th - 24pts (2/3 Skybet)
The new favourites for relegation despite not being in the bottom three all season. The unfancied Terriers made a dream start to life in the top flight but 7 games without a victory, including 4 straight defeats, looks like a reality check. But if you fancy their team spirit to be enough why not take the 11/8 with WilliamHill on Town staying up?
Stoke: 16th - 24pts (5/2 Coral)
The team with the worst defensive record by far, having conceded 50 goals in 25 games. But Paul Lambert has come in and brought consecutive clean sheets and 4 points from 2 matches. Mark Hughes would argue that he would have done at least that at home to Huddersfield and Watford though. Might be worth a punt to go down at the prices available.
Brighton: 15th - 24pts (3/2 Skybet)
The Seagulls are another one who are less fancied having just come up from the Championship. 1 win in 14 outings gives a very real cause for concern though. But Chris Hughton is a canny operator and Brighton’s January business looks better than most having re-signed Ulloa on loan from Leicester and broken their transfer record for £14m Locadia. Those two strikers could be the difference.
Newcastle: 14th - 24pts (5/2 BetFair)
Yet another team on 24pts! The big question here is whether 3 loan signings will add enough quality and keep Benitez happy. The late addition of Slimani has the potential to add crucial goals to a side that haven’t won in 8 at home. If they can start winning at St James’s Park again they should be fine as there are 3 worse sides out there. Just.
Crystal Palace: 13th - 26pts (11/1 BetFair)
Every Palace fan would have bitten your hand off for this position after a record-breaking bad start which brought 0 points and 0 goals from 7 matches. Hodgson’s job has been all the more remarkable because he’s done it with 1 fit striker, who has only scored twice all season. Upcoming games against Newcastle and Everton need to bring points or the Eagles could get sucked back in though.
West Ham: 12th - 27pts (10/1 SkyBet)
Another team who changed manager and reaped the rewards, at least till now. David Moyes deserves great credit because many thought he was a poor appointment but he has delivered a swift climb up the table off the back of 1 defeat in 10. It’s hard to imagine a sudden reversal of fortune particularly since the Hammers did well against the big boys.
Watford: 11th - 27pts (10/1 Skybet)
They have the same points and the same odds as West Ham but the feelings around the clubs couldn’t be more diverse. The Hornets were flying under Marco Silva until late November; fast-forward 2 months and he’s been sacked and they’ve won just 1 time in 12 attempts, losing 8 of those. With trips to Arsenal, Liverpool, Spurs and Man Utd still to come, the home form needs to recover quickly.
Bournemouth: 10th - 28pts (22/1 Skybet)
The Cherries have roared up to mid-table with recent standout victories over Arsenal and, just last night, 3-0 away to Chelsea. It was impossible to watch that merited triumph and imagine Eddie Howe’s boys ending up in the bottom 3 with so many sides playing worse and with fewer points on the board.
Everton: 9th - 31pts (80/1 Skybet)
The bookies’ price would suggest Everton could be left off this feature all together but they still have work to do since last night was their first win in 7 outings. It’s fair to say it was fortunate after Leicester hit the woodwork 3 times! The Toffees should be fine but with one of the 5 worst defences statistically and a recent goalscoring problem there is no room for complacency.
Odds correct at time of publishing: 06:42 1st Feb, 2018 but subject to change