1st Oct 2021 | Premier League

Leaky Leeds

They are great to watch, but the Yorkshire team are struggling to defend to the standards required at this level in 2021-22.

The general consensus is that Leeds are just waiting to kick into gear, while Watford are destined for the bottom three despite a promising start.

I find it hard to disagree with either long term assessment, but the data suggests the Elland Road boys are down in 18th on merit, and could even be lower - their xPts puts them 19th according to Understat’s numbers.

The biggest problem is they always look like conceding (and always have so far), and Ismaila Sarr must be worth a look at 3/1 to score anytime on Saturday with Bet365.

The Hornets’ main man has 4 goals already in the top flight and 8 in his last 11 for his club. We don’t yet know the Senegalese winger’s upper limits, but this is an ideal fixture to take some value.

Odds correct at time of publishing: 14:50 1st Oct, 2021 but subject to change