17th Sep 2021 | Premier League

Brentford Resistance

According to Understat, both these understated sides have looked less likely to concede than Chelsea, Man Utd and most others so far.

There haven’t been more than 2 goals in any Wolves or Brentford fixture yet, and we can squeeze some value out of the market by backing under 1.5 goals in this Saturday lunchtime match at best odds of 17/10 with BetVictor.

The underlying numbers suggest these teams may keep trending towards tight matches - surely more likely still when they meet each other.

For a newly promoted side, Brentford have been remarkably solid. They have only conceded twice in the top flight, and actually rank 2nd for xG against. Wolves rank in the top five in the same metric, despite facing Leicester, Spurs and Man Utd in their first three outings.

The TV cameras can talk up two promising outfits, but don’t expect a goal blitz.

1pt Under 1.5 Goal in the Match 17/10 with BetVictor
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 10:46 17th Sep, 2021 but subject to change