30th Dec 2018 | Premier League

A Sarri State of Affairs

Palace won this fixture last season, have kept three clean sheets in a row at home and so far in December had 29 shots against Burnley and 31 against Cardiff. That's a side with high potential.

We’ve always been fans of looking at underlying shot metrics to assess the true capabilties of a side and in this sense Crystal Palace should be pushing towards the top half of the table in the second half of the season.

The Eagles rank 8th for shots attempted, averaging 12.9 efforts per match, which ranks them ahead of Arsenal and Spurs. Defensively they also rank 8th, conceding just 12.3 shots per game on average and at this end of the pitch the success is coming.

Hodgson’s boys have kept 7 Premier League clean sheets already in 2018-19 - no side outside of the top four can claim better than that. 8 days on from a famous win at the Etihad, they are underrated at best odds of 9/2 with Skybet to win this London derby.

Chelsea are inconsistent and vulnerable having lost 3 of their last 7 league matches with Wolves and Leicester amongst their defeaters. Palace should very much be in that bracket.

Odds correct at time of publishing: 06:30 30th Dec, 2018 but subject to change