24th Apr 2015 | Premier League
Liverpool Run Out Of Ideyes
Since Tony Pulis took over his team are averaging 1.71pts per home game, which is more than Liverpool average on their travels.
Liverpool suffered a chastening defeat in the FA Cup but it wasn’t so much the result but the manner that set alarm bells ringing.
Aston Villa were comfortably the better team on the day and that must be a big worry for Brendan Rodgers. With Daniel Sturridge out injured there is no focal point for his attack, despite three strikers warming the bench at Wembley.
A trip to the Hawthorns suddenly seems a daunting prospect, especially with West Brom still looking for points to guarantee safety.
The market has Liverpool as firm favourites and that would be fair if you took the season as a whole.
Liverpool average 1.67pts per away game, West Brom average 1.24pts per home game. However that doesn’t take into account the Tony Pulis effect. Since the new manager took over on New Year’s Day, West Brom average 1.71pts per home game.
That puts West Brom on a par with Liverpool and theoretically all three outcomes should be equally likely.
The bookmakers have priced up the match in a completely different way, with a home win the outsider of the three. A West Brom win is therefore a cracking bet at 16/5 (Betfred).
Odds correct at time of publishing: 06:01 24th Apr, 2015 but subject to change
