FA Cup Final: Scoreline Tip

It’s always somewhat curious that a cup final underdog is such a bigger price to win in 90 minutes than it is to simply lift the trophy ie to allow for victory after extra time or penalties.

Obviously I get the principle - more opportunities to win the bet - but logically the better team seems more likely to win the longer the match goes on. That’s why Palace to win in 90 minutes at 9/2 looks far more appealing than the 12/5 on them simply lifting the trophy (both Bet365).

In the only truly competitive match between the clubs this season so far (because Palace fielded reserves at Old Trafford), the sides drew 0-0 at Selhurst Park in a game which the hosts dominated. Louis van Gaal actually cites this as one of the few games in which he felt his side were lucky to get away with a draw.

The Eagles have the tools to hurt United on a good day. Bolasie and Zaha caused problems on the wings in the league fixture while the Londoners are dangerous on set pieces where the Red Devils are vulnerable.

A scoreline bet looks particularly appealing if you fancy a shock because Pardew’s boys tend to win either 1-0 or 2-1 - the latter is a 17/1 shot with Paddy Power. They’ve struggled for clean sheets in the second half of the season so this is the value play.

*Back 2-1 to Palace with Paddy Power because they are not only offering best price but they will also give £10 of free in-play bets if you bet £20 in single bets before kick-off. T&Cs apply.