12th Mar 2019 | Champions League

The Simeone Way

The best defence in Spain, and arguably still in Europe, knows what approach to take with a lead to defend in Turin.

We backed Atletico for Champions League glory in their own backyard back in September and the dream is still very much alive. Their price has halved as big names such as Real and PSG have crashed out leaving them as 3rd favourites now.

Tonight they travel to Juventus with a 2-0 lead and the smart move is to back under 1.5 goals in the second leg at best odds of 11/5 with BetFair.

Diego Simeone’s boys have won their last five matches across all competitions without conceding and they will happily aim for 0-0 here, and failing that 1-0 either way still works. Even 2-0 to the Italians only leads to extra time so don’t expect an adventurous approach from the visitors unless something very strange happens.

The bookies give us a fair price because Juventus are still quite highly rated, but they’ve failed to score more than once in their last 5 Champions League outings.

1pt Under 1.5 Goals in the Match 11/5 with Betfair
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Odds correct at time of publishing: 13:19 12th Mar, 2019 but subject to change